Phoenix Energy bargain? Anti-gas or anti-NI sentiment?

About

Dive into MCC Economics' in-depth review of the Phoenix Energy acquisition, focusing on its valuation, regulatory framework, and the broader energy market dynamics. With exclusive gas distribution rights across Greater Belfast, Phoenix Energy faces both challenges and opportunities in the shift towards renewable energy. This case study examines the company’s performance within Northern Ireland’s unique regulatory environment, the implications of stranded assets, and the potential pace of electrification. The report also considers the strategic value of this acquisition for CK Infrastructure Holdings and its alignment with global trends in sustainable energy.

Abstract

This publication provides a comprehensive analysis of the 2024 acquisition of Phoenix Energy by CK Infrastructure Holdings, valued at approximately £760 million. Phoenix Energy operates as the sole gas distributor in Greater Belfast and has rebranded to reflect its renewable energy aspirations. The report evaluates the deal’s valuation metrics, highlighting a rare alignment with its regulatory asset base, and discusses the risks posed by stranded assets and the potential acceleration of electrification. It further explores the implications of Northern Ireland’s regulatory framework, which supports renewable gas solutions while promoting continued gas network connections. This case study serves as a key reference for stakeholders in mergers, acquisitions, and regulatory policy within the energy sector.

Preview Publication

Want to receive Excel backup data & analysis for this report?

Buy Data

Featured

This paper has been published on following other platforms

No items found.

I was delighted that MCC's work was completed on time, and within budget, helping us deliver important changes and improvements, to the benefit of our stakeholders. ​ MCC's report is published on the CCC website.

- Bea Natzler
Team Leader at Climate Change Committee, UK

I am delighted to recommend MCC Economics. Specifically, I worked closely with PJ, who helped us with our Nuclear and CCUS projects. PJ helped us develop new policies and answer questions from our stakeholders. ​​His support helped us deliver important changes and improvements, to the benefit of our stakeholders.

- Gordon Hutcheson
Head of Nuclear Policy at Ofgem, UK

MCC Economics has helped us better understand the most important issues for our stakeholders, including: charges, shareholder returns, debt payments and inflation impacts.

- Leila N. Nasr
Section Head at Department of Energy, Abu Dhabi

I am delighted to recommend PJ and his team at MCC Economics. We've been working together on National Policy Statements to help meet net zero targets for 2030 and 2050. We initially appointed MCC Economics to support us on offshore wind consultation analysis and have recently reappointed MCC Economics to undertake a larger consultation analysis role across all sectors, including hydrogen, CCUS and networks. I can confirm that PJ and his team have shown excellent spreadsheet skills, alongside very good project management, planning and analysis skills, helping us deliver important changes, and continuous improvements, to the benefit of our stakeholders.

- Amy McHugh
Head of Environment in the Energy Infrastructure Planning Policy, UK

I am delighted to recommend PJ and his team from MCC Economics. They helped us with our price controls for Heathrow airport and for NATS (En Route) plc (the air traffic services provider). Specifically, the MCC team helped us deliver important changes and improvements to our financial models and supporting policy documents, to the benefit of our stakeholders.

- Dan Rock
Head of Corporate Finance at CAA, UK

I am delighted to confirm that I worked with PJ on a retail project in 2015. The project helped stakeholders understand electricity costs and charges. Specifically, the project helped us explain to stakeholders, internally and externally, why electricity charges differed across the regions (GB, NI & Ireland). PJ was a key member on the project team, which helped deliver changes and improvements in the understanding of energy retail.

- Kevin Shiels
Director at Utility Regulator, Northern Ireland