Our Experience

MCC Economics delivers independent, evidence-based analysis across economics, finance, and regulation. With experience spanning energy, water, infrastructure, and public policy, the firm supports transparent and effective decision-making. Clients across the UK, Europe, and the Middle East benefit from rigorous analysis, financial modelling, and clear policy insight.

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Publications

MCC Economics publishes independent analysis and commentary on issues at the intersection of economics, finance, and regulation. Our publications draw on experience from projects across energy, water, infrastructure, and public policy - providing evidence-based insights that support transparent, accountable, and effective decision-making.

The UKIB: A New Force for Economic Growth?

Explore how the UK Infrastructure Bank is shaping the UK’s green and economic transformation. This article reviews UKIB’s mandate, funding capacity, early investments, and risks, and assesses its potential to drive long-term, sustainable infrastructure growth.

This article provides an overview and early assessment of the UK Infrastructure Bank (UKIB) following its establishment in 2021. It explores the Bank’s strategic objectives, funding capacity, sectoral priorities, and early deal activity across clean energy, digital infrastructure, transport, and water. The article also considers the pricing and risk characteristics of UKIB finance, its role in crowding-in private investment, and the challenges it faces in balancing public policy objectives with commercial discipline. Together, these insights offer a timely perspective on whether UKIB can fulfil its ambition to support net-zero delivery and drive long-term economic growth in the UK.

This article examines the UK Infrastructure Bank’s emerging role in supporting infrastructure investment and the transition to net zero. It reviews the Bank’s mandate, funding capacity, early deal activity, and sectoral focus, and considers the risks it faces as it seeks to mobilise private capital and contribute to long-term economic growth in the UK.

About

Abstract

Economic Analysis
2023

Explanation

The UK Infrastructure Bank (UKIB), is a relatively new addition to the ranks of eminent institutions established in the country to accelerate investment in the UK’s infrastructure. Set up in 2021, the Bank’s mandate is to support the transition to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

Since its inception, the Bank has funded 18+ deals across various infrastructure sectors such as clean energy, digital, transport, waste, and water. The bank has a focus on green infrastructure projects and is consistently attracting private-sector investment both at home and from overseas investors to the country’s infrastructure projects.

War-chest?

UKIB has an investment-war-chest of £22 billion, as follows: £7 billion of debt; £5 billion of equity; and £10 billion for guarantees. UKIB’s money is available to private sector corporations, investment funds and local authorities.

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Figure: UKIB's Financial Capacity

Cheap-money?

Not only has UKIB a huge investment war-chest at its disposal for corporate and project finance: the money is cheap. UKIB’s accounts for the year ending March 2022, suggests an average interest rate close to 1% for the fortunate counterparties - although that may be misleadingly low as the reported values will reflect partial-year-loans. However, we noted the following cheap-money-infrastructure-deal examples by UKIB:

UKIB’s priorities?

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Figure: UKIB's Priority sectors

Until recently, the Bank has made ~£2 billion in total commitments since inception and few large deals have already been closed:

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Figure: Split of UKIB's committed capital

The Bank has already announced a total of 7 commitments in the clean energy sector, potentially investing over £800m in the sector. Fibre broadband infrastructure in the UK is also expected to benefit immensely from a total commitment of £775m by the Bank, across 6 deals in the digital sector.

Is the Bank immune to risks?

UKIB faces several key investment risks such as regulatory risks, market risks, and credit risks. However, it is well-equipped to manage these risks and ensure compliance with international obligations on subsidy control and future domestic regimes.

The UK Infrastructure Bank presents an opportunity for the country to leverage its resources to mobilise investment. The Bank is already providing expertise and capacity to local governments and help them realize their infrastructure plans. The Bank is also expected to help build back better, fairer, and greener by supporting the transition to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

In conclusion, the UK Investment Bank is a new institution with the potential to play a major role in the UK economy. The bank has made some early progress in making funding deals, but it remains to be seen how successful it will be in achieving its mandate. The future of the bank will depend on a number of factors, but it has the potential to be a major force for economic growth in the UK.

A Report for the Climate Change Committee: Summarising the Call for Evidence Responses for Offsets

Explore MCC Economics’ evidence to the UK Climate Change Committee on strengthening the integrity and governance of carbon offsetting.

This report presents MCC Economics's evidence submission to the UK Climate Change Committee (CCC) on the role of carbon offsetting within national decarbonisation pathways. Drawing on our experience in regulatory economics and market design, the report evaluates the effectiveness, credibility, and governance of offsetting mechanisms in supporting net zero delivery. It considers both voluntary and compliance markets, highlighting the risks of overreliance on offsets and proposing frameworks to ensure integrity, transparency, and additionality in emission reduction claims.

The Climate Change Committee launched a call for evidence to assess the contribution of carbon offsetting to the UK’s net zero strategy. MCC Economics’ submission responds with a critical economic assessment of current offsetting practices, identifying where market and policy interventions can improve outcomes. The report outlines key challenges in monitoring, verification, and permanence of offsets; economic incentives that drive offset demand and supply; principles for integrating offsetting within credible transition plans; and recommendations for regulatory consistency, data disclosure, and international coordination. Our evidence supports a balanced approach that recognises offsetting’s potential while reinforcing the primacy of direct emission reductions.

About

Abstract

Financial Modelling
2022
PJ McCloskey
Government Administration

The approach for Abu Dhabi’s solar energy: Centralised or Decentralised

Explore our latest paper which examines Abu Dhabi’s solar approach—centralised utility-scale vs. distributed rooftop generation. Finds rooftop PV still uneconomical for heavily subsidised user groups but cost-effective for industry and commerce, suggesting subsidy reforms to unlock distributed solar for 2050 climate goals.

Abu Dhabi faces a strategic choice in scaling up solar energy: centralised mega-projects or decentralsed rooftop systems. This paper by our Director PJ McCloskey and analyst Rodrigo Remor analyses why distributed solar uptake remains low in Abu Dhabi and evaluates its economic viability under current conditions. Abu Dhabi has so far favored large solar parks (e.g. the 1.17 GW Noor Abu Dhabi plant) while rooftop solar adoption is minimal (~2.94 MW on government buildings by 2020, <1% of Noor’s capacity). Given the UAE’s net-zero commitment and Energy Strategy 2050 targets (44% renewable electricity by 2050), the study explores whether decentralised solar could play a larger role and what policy shifts might be required.

This paper evaluates the economic viability of decentralised solar systems in Abu Dhabi. By analysing levelised cost of electricity (LCOE), net present value (NPV), and internal rate of return (IRR) across customer groups, it finds that while rooftop solar generation is not yet cost-effective for heavily subsidised sectors, it remains viable for industrial and commercial users. The study suggests that subsidy reform could significantly improve the financial appeal of decentralised systems, aligning with Abu Dhabi’s decarbonisation targets under the UAE Energy Strategy 2050.

About

Abstract

Economic Analysis
2022
Rodrigo Malheiros Remor
Energy

The approach for Abu Dhabi’s solar energy:  Centralised or Decentralised

Explore our latest paper which examines Abu Dhabi’s solar approach - centralised utility-scale vs. distributed rooftop generation. Finds rooftop PV still uneconomical for heavily subsidised user groups but cost-effective for industry and commerce, suggesting subsidy reforms to unlock distributed solar for 2050 climate goals.

PR24 WACC Review from MCC for CCW

MCC Economics presents a comprehensive analysis of Ofwat’s PR24 final WACC determination, revealing how late-stage decisions may have shifted financial risk to customers.

MCC Economics, on behalf of the Consumer Council for Water (CCW), has reviewed Ofwat’s PR24 final WACC determination to assess whether it fairly balances customer and investor interests. The report questions Ofwat’s decision to include costs stemming from companies with high financial gearing, arguing this may shift undue risk to customers. By applying a market-based, notional-efficient approach, MCC finds the WACC could have been set 1.08% lower — potentially saving customers £5.4 billion, or £41 per household, over five years. The review also highlights how new risk-reduction mechanisms in PR24 could justify a lower return, offering critical insight for both policymakers and the Competition and Markets Authority.

MCC Economics was commissioned by the Consumer Council for Water (CCW) to review Ofwat’s PR24 final WACC determination. The report examines whether Ofwat’s approach appropriately balances customer interests against investor requirements. It identifies potential upward bias in key components — including the cost of equity and debt — largely influenced by financial behaviours of highly geared companies. MCC proposes a market-led recalibration of the WACC that aligns with the notional efficient company and regulatory best practice. This would reduce the WACC by 1.08%, potentially saving customers £5.4 billion over five years. The report also assesses risk protection measures introduced in PR24 and offers recommendations for future regulatory frameworks and CMA deliberations.

About

Abstract

Regulatory Economics
2023
Warwick Anderson
Utilities

Excellence in Consumer Engagement

This publication outlines 10 fundamental principles for effective engagement, exploring how businesses and regulators can foster trust, enhance decision-making, and create mutually beneficial outcomes.

Regulatory frameworks are evolving to place consumers at the heart of decision-making. "Excellence in Consumer Engagement: 10 Fundamentals" explores the shift from traditional regulatory processes—where decisions were imposed on consumers—to a model where consumers actively influence outcomes. The paper identifies 10 key principles that drive successful engagement, including the importance of social license, leadership commitment, and setting the right incentives. Through case studies and real-world examples, it highlights both the risks of poor engagement and the benefits of genuine collaboration. This guide serves as a resource for regulators, businesses, and policymakers looking to enhance consumer participation in regulatory decision-making.

The landscape of consumer engagement in regulation has undergone a significant transformation, moving from a model where consumers had little influence to one where they play a central role in shaping decisions. This paper presents 10 fundamental principles that underpin effective consumer engagement, including commitment from leadership, social license, and consumer empowerment. It examines both successful and failed approaches to engagement, drawing lessons from key case studies such as the Powerlink Queensland electricity transmission decision and Australia’s banking and energy sector reforms. The study also explores the regulatory incentives that encourage engagement, from reputational benefits to financial rewards. By implementing these principles, businesses and regulators can foster trust, improve regulatory outcomes, and create a more balanced and consumer-centric decision-making process.

About

Abstract

Regulatory Economics
2021
Warwick Anderson
Utilities

Case Studies

MCC Economics works with governments, regulators, and organisations across the UK, Europe, and the Middle East.Our case studies highlight how rigorous analysis, financial modelling, and policy insight have supported clients in making transparent, defensible, and effective decisions. Each project reflects our commitment to clarity, independence, and analytical precision.

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Price Controls for a Regulated Monopoly Network Company

Discover how MCC supported the early preparations for Abu Dhabi’s RC2 price control, helping a regulated monopoly network company optimise regulatory frameworks and ensure effective implementation of its electricity and water networks.

Regulatory Economics
2020
Hairo Senosain
Utilities

Discover how MCC supported the early preparations for Abu Dhabi’s RC2 price control, helping a regulated monopoly network company optimise regulatory frameworks and ensure effective implementation of its electricity and water networks.

The Regulated Monopoly Network Company required expert support in preparing for the RC2 price control, set to take effect on 1st January 2023. they needed a thorough evaluation of the price control model used to set the Maximum Allowed Revenue (MAR) for electricity and water monopoly network services. Additionally, the company required an in-depth analysis of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) used in the previous price controls (RC1) and recommendations to develop an updated WACC allowance for RC2.

MCC was involved with the early preparations for the RC2 price control, which were due to take effect from 1st January 2023. This involved a review of the multi-year, incentive-based price controls that have been applied to the water, wastewater, recycled water and electricity companies in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi (AADC, ADDC, ADSSC, TRANSCO, and EWEC). ​

MCC reviewed the price control model used in Abu Dhabi to set the Maximum Allowed Revenue (MAR) for electricity and water monopoly network services. Unlike most price controls in the UK, this involved a fixed and variable term for allowable revenues: which was designed to incentivize the growth of electricity and water services in the region.​

MCC’s role was to provide analysis of WACC calculations from previous price controls (RC1), and to guide WACC developments for the upcoming price control (RC2). MCC used both regulators’ benchmarks and bottom-up analysis to generate an anticipated WACC allowance.​

What the Client Needed?

Citizens Advice UK Price Controls

Explore our Citizens Advice case study to discover how we helped our client navigate energy network business planning for RIIO-2 price controls.

Regulatory Economics
2019
PJ McCloskey
Aviation

Explore our Citizens Advice case study to discover how we helped our client navigate energy network business planning for RIIO-2 price controls. Learn how our recommendations and tailored assessment methodologies empowered them to evaluate business plans effectively, ensuring consumer interests were at the forefront.

Citizens Advice sought expert guidance to ensure energy network companies’ business plans for the RIIO-2 price controls were transparent, comprehensive, and aligned with consumer interests. Specifically, they needed a framework to identify and evaluate critical aspects of these plans, such as stakeholder engagement, financial proposals, expenditure bids, outcomes, customer charges, and governance. Additionally, they required actionable recommendations on assessment methods and scoring mechanisms to effectively advocate for fairness, accountability, and value for consumers during the regulatory process.

In 2019, MCC, led by our director PJ McCloskey, delivered a comprehensive and actionable report to Citizens Advice (CA). The report was designed to equip CA and the Challenge Group (CG) with the tools and frameworks necessary to assess energy network companies’ business plans effectively for the RIIO-2 price controls.

Our contributions included:

  1. Key Information Identification:
    PJ outlined six main categories of information that CA and CG should focus on when reviewing business plans, ensuring the evaluation process was thorough and aligned with regulatory objectives. These categories included:
    • Stakeholder Engagement
    • Finance Issues
    • Expenditure Bids
    • Outcomes
    • Customer Charges
    • Governance
  2. Assessment Methodology Development:
    PJ conducted a detailed review of assessment techniques used in prior regulatory frameworks, including RIIO-1 and PR19, and identified lessons learned to inform the RIIO-2 process.
  3. Traffic-Light Scorecard Approach:
    PJ recommended a practical, user-friendly assessment method in the form of a traffic-light scorecard. This approach allowed CA and CG to visually and systematically evaluate key aspects of business plans.
  4. Guidance and Tools:
    The report provided a comprehensive list of questions for network companies, enabling CA and CG to extract the necessary information for informed evaluations. Additionally, PJ provided tailored recommendations on scoring and prioritisation to ensure alignment with regulatory expectations and consumer interests.

This work provided Citizens Advice with a structured framework to advocate for transparency, fairness, and accountability in energy network business planning, ultimately safeguarding consumer interests in the regulatory process.

What the Client Needed?

Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) UK Price Controls

Explore how we supported the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) in shaping finance policy decisions for the H7 Heathrow Airport Price Controls, setting the groundwork for addressing high-stakes regulatory challenges.

Financial Modelling
2018
PJ McCloskey
Energy

Explore how we supported the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) in shaping finance policy decisions for the H7 Heathrow Airport Price Controls, setting the groundwork for addressing high-stakes regulatory challenges.

The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) required expert support in shaping its finance policy decisions for the H7 Heathrow Airport Price Controls in 2022. This work was critical in preparing for potential challenges and appeals that could arise during the regulatory process. In particular, the CAA sought a thorough examination of financial policies and regulatory precedents to ensure robust decision-making.

In 2022, MCC provided comprehensive support to the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) in developing and refining their finance policy decisions for the H7 Heathrow Airport Price Controls. This included an in-depth analysis of regulatory precedents, financial policies, and market dynamics to ensure the CAA’s decisions were grounded in robust evidence and best practices.

Key aspects of our work included:

  • Policy Development Support: We assisted the CAA in crafting finance policy frameworks for the H7 Price Controls, ensuring alignment with regulatory expectations and addressing key stakeholder concerns.
  • Regulatory Precedent Analysis: Our team conducted a detailed review of prior appeals, including the CMA’s RIIO-2 network appeals from 2021 and the water sector PR19 redeterminations in 2020. This helped identify relevant precedents and anticipate areas of potential scrutiny in future appeals.
  • Expert Witness Contributions: We leveraged the expertise of our director, Mr. PJ McCloskey, whose prior witness statements were extensively cited in the CMA’s Energy Licence Appeal Final Decision. This allowed us to provide authoritative insights and prepare the CAA for potential appeals.
  • Appeals Preparedness: In anticipation of challenges to the H7 decisions, we supported the CAA by identifying issues likely to be appealed and developing counterarguments grounded in financial and regulatory analysis.

Our preparatory work proved instrumental during the subsequent 2023 CMA appeals by Heathrow, British Airways plc, Delta Air Lines Inc., and Virgin Atlantic Airways Ltd., positioning the CAA to navigate these challenges effectively.

What the Client Needed?

Consumer Council for Water (CCW)

Discover how MCC supported the Consumer Council for Water (UK) by providing expert peer reviews and deep analysis of Ofwat's indicative WACC for the PR24 price control.

Regulatory Economics
2019
Rodrigo Malheiros Rem
Water

Discover how MCC supported the Consumer Council for Water (UK) by providing expert peer reviews and deep analysis of Ofwat's indicative WACC for the PR24 price control. Gain insights into our methodologies, including regulatory benchmarking, financial modeling, and strategic reporting that helped our client achieve impactful results.

The Consumer Council for Water (CCW) required an expert analysis of Ofwat’s indicative Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) for the PR24 price control. Their aim was to ensure that the WACC parameters were robust, transparent, and aligned with best practices in regulatory decision-making. As part of this effort, CCW sought a detailed review of Ofwat’s historical WACC allowances and decisions, alongside a comparative analysis of regulatory approaches from bodies like Ofgem and the CMA.

MCC assisted the Consumer Council for Water (UK) by peer reviewing Ofwat’s indicative WACC for the PR24 price control.​ This work included extensive analysis of Ofwat’s historical WACC allowances, positions, and decisions. MCC also took into consideration approaches by other regulators (e.g. Ofgem, CMA) and best practice guidance.​

To provide a robust evaluation, MCC undertook an in-depth examination of each WACC parameter, focusing on critical elements such as:

- Cost of equity

- Cost of debt

- Financing and gearing

- Risk-free rate

- Total market return

- Equity beta

In addition, we reviewed Ofwat’s financial models, such as their balance sheet cost of debt model, and built alternative and complementary models to enhance our analysis and provide additional perspectives. The insights from this work were compiled into a detailed final report, which has been published online (May 2023).

What the Client Needed?

Climate Change Committee Carbon Offsetting Consultation Analysis

Discover how MCC Economics supported the UK’s Climate Change Committee in evaluating voluntary carbon offsetting through stakeholder analysis, evidence assessment, and policy insight development - shaping the UK’s approach to credible climate action.

Consultation Analysis
2017
PJ McCloskey
Energy

Dive into how MCC Economics partnered with the UK Climate Change Committee (CCC) to deliver a comprehensive analysis of responses to the Committee’s Call for Evidence on Voluntary Carbon Offsetting. Through detailed thematic coding, evidence evaluation, and cross-market comparison, MCC’s expert team distilled insights that informed the CCC’s 2022 publication, advancing understanding of carbon markets, their risks, and the pathways to integrity and transparency in offsetting.

In early 2022, CCC sought analytical expertise to process over 50 stakeholder submissions from its Call for Evidence on Carbon Offsetting, encompassing responses from NGOs, businesses, government bodies, and research institutions. They required robust analytical support to synthesise stakeholder responses on the UK’s voluntary carbon offset market, identify risks and opportunities associated with offset use, evaluate evidence quality to guide policy recommendations on carbon market integrity and summarise insights across 13 complex consultation questions spanning regulation, finance, monitoring, and transparency.

Our Approach and Methodology

1. Structured Thematic Coding

MCC developed a comprehensive coding framework to categorise over 50 responses from varied sectors, ensuring analytical consistency and uncovering common themes across data points.

2. Evidence Strength and Quality Assessment

Each submission was systematically reviewed for relevance, depth, and credibility. MCC applied a three-dimensional framework assessing evidence type, source robustness, and alignment with key policy questions.

3. Integration of Multi-Channel Data

Responses were consolidated from both CCC’s online portal and email submissions, ensuring no data was excluded. This created a single, centralised dataset - the foundation for a transparent and replicable analysis process.

4. Identification of Market Gaps

MCC’s analysis uncovered significant data and governance gaps - including a lack of price transparency, inconsistent credit registries, and limited visibility into project ownership and quality assurance.
These findings directly supported CCC’s recognition of the need for stronger market integrity and regulatory frameworks.

5. Comparative Market Insights: UK vs Global

The report contrasted the UK’s emerging voluntary carbon market with established international systems (e.g., Verra, Gold Standard, REDD+). It identified differences in standards, monitoring rigor, and land-use implications - particularly in peatland versus forestry-based offsets.

6. Policy-Aligned Reporting

MCC delivered structured summaries addressing 13 questions across topics such as:

  • Market regulation and standardisation
  • Harnessing private finance for climate goals
  • Corporate transparency and offset credibility
  • Integration with Article 6 of the Paris Agreement

Each summary provided balanced, evidence-based insights to support CCC’s policymaking and communication efforts.

7. Balanced View of Risks and Opportunities

MCC identified both market vulnerabilities, such as greenwashing, double counting, and weak monitoring and emerging opportunities, including private finance mobilisation, biodiversity enhancement, and scalable net-zero solutions.

Results Delivered

✅ Comprehensive stakeholder analysis across 56 respondents
✅ Transparent, replicable analytical framework for consultation evidence
✅ Identification of data gaps and policy-relevant insights
✅ Publication of findings in CCC’s official report
✅ Contribution to the UK’s evolving carbon offset governance approach

What the Client Needed?

Energy Sector Regulations and Project Financing

Discover how we supported another key regulator in regulating district cooling services.

Regulatory Economics
2020
PJ McCloskey
Electricity

Discover how we supported a key energy regulator in regulating district cooling services. From financial model reviews to efficiency benchmarking and cost comparisons, learn how our expertise ensured fair outcomes for customers and sustainable practices for service providers.

The Regulator sought expert guidance to regulate the district cooling sector effectively, ensuring fair pricing and operational efficiency. They required in-depth analysis of financial models, licencing reviews, and benchmarking to assess the performance and cost-efficiency of district cooling providers. A critical focus was evaluating whether customers were receiving value for money compared to conventional cooling alternatives, while maintaining a robust framework for the regulation of economic clauses.

For the past two years, we helped this regulator with their regulation of district cooling, with a focus on the economic clauses. This involved analysis of financial and levelised cost models submitted by three district cooling service providers (PAL Cooling; Tabreed; and Manazel).​

For this engagement, our team:​

  • used district cooling benchmarks, for capex, opex and the cost of capital, to assess the efficiency of ~30 district cooling plants in Abu Dhabi;​
  • calculated the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) for the concession period and compares it with the WACC benchmark at the date of construction;​
  • reviewed charge structures and escalation rates;​
  • compared the levelised costs of conventional cooling with the levelised costs of district cooling, to advise whether customers are getting a good deal from their DC provider.​

What they Needed?